The Oregon Ducks football team is going to win the national championship this year. For the first time.
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Even though it's best to never mention the no-hitter while it's in progress, I am not entirely convinced that it applies to the Ducks football program this year. I don't see any team coming within 20 points of them. Am I confident? Yup. Over confident? Depends on one's perspective and insight into what sets the Ducks apart this year.
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Of course, Fredd is a fiercely loyal Duck fan and alumnus who is optimistic about his teams' chances this year, but that doesn't necessarily diminish what the Ducks are doing differently than every other team in the NCAA the last few years.
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And yes: the Ducks are doing something differently than the rest of the college ranks. What's that, Fredd, you say. Well, I'll be glad to tell you. Read on, please......
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Many chalk the relatively recent success to their skills at implementing the 'West Coast no huddle Offense.' While this is certainly a big factor in their hugely productive offense, this is not the sole, nor even primary reason why they win football games by large margins. Lots of teams are using the West coast offense. Most of the Pac 10, frankly, so what is different about the Ducks?
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In the past, the paradigm of recruiting has changed a few times. In the olden days, it was seen that physical size vs fitness and/or athletic ability on the offensive and defensive line was paramount, and was much more effective in using very large men, often of dubious physical conditioning. Great big fat guys on both sides of the line won the day against smaller but more athletic and well conditioned athletes. This was the case up until perhaps the mid 1950's, when a different type of athlete was seen: Ed "Big Daddy" Lipscomb of the LA Rams was not only a huge man physically, at 6'4" and 220, but he was exceptionally quick, and would blow by the slightly larger but much slower and fatter offensive linemen of the day.
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Then began the era of ever increasing size and more importantly, speed of linemen, both offense and defense. Mark Gastineau of the Jets and Reggie White of the Packers epitomized the evolution of this strategy in winning football games: get great big fast guys, don't worry about their conditioning a great deal, as long as they can go at it for 4 seconds out of every 35.
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While offensively, this strategy is still sound, as the defensive tackle or end must spend much more energy each play to prevail. Accordingly, size , a modicum of speed, but not necessarily conditioning, is still the formula for success on offense. This is no longer the case on defense. Smaller, faster and better conditioning on defense is what we see today.
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But wait.....the Oregon Ducks have taken yet another step in recruiting defensive athletes. Up until the last few years, collegiate recruiting focused on talent emanating from high school football programs. While this is still a lucrative pool, Oregon recruiters are focusing on elite track and field athletes, many of whom have never set foot on a gridiron. Speed is what wins the day. Speed and size. The Ducks look for world class sprinters in superb physical condition first, size second and football moves and savvy last. This is new and effective: they sign Olympic class sprinters, keep their conditioning regimens in place, and start to teach them the subtleties of playing defense.
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And where do these Oregon recruiters find these elite athletes? They simply need only to walk out of their office doors and see them everywhere: Eugene, Oregon is also called 'Track Town, U.S.A.': this campus is where the Olympic tryouts for track and field are held every four years, and where some of the world's elite athletes train. This is where Phil Knight invented his track shoe with a waffle iron (which later became 'Nike', perhaps you've heard of them). These football coaches have long been wondering what it would be like to have a safety with the kind of speed that they see at lunch working out at Heyward Field. Well, now they know.
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Speed and conditioning, when added with a modicum of size, is winning the day now. While during their redshirt year, these elite athletes are easily fooled by simple misdirection plays that most high school football players are wise to, but they learn quickly and are relatively up to speed when it comes time for them to start at the red-shirt freshman varsity level. They will make more mistakes than typical of freshmen who have been playing football since Pop Warner days, but will have the blinding speed to often overcome them, and given their second and third years, become fearsome defenders.
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Speed, speed speed. The Oregon Ducks, man for man, have the fastest - by far - and best conditioned defense in college football. They are not necessarily the smallest by any means, but are smaller than any of the elite teams in the Top 25 today.
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The Ducks are the only team in Division One NCAA football who have perfected this concept. And it is paying off. In the first half of any football game, they give up yards and points to physically larger but slower teams, but in the second half, those larger legs are tired, where the speedy, Olympic class smaller athletes are still fresh, and have the stamina, strength and most importantly, blazing speed to stymie even the most experienced, talented offense in the third and especially the fourth quarter of play.
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The Ducks did not invent this method of recruiting. The Dallas Cowboys toyed with this concept in the mid1960s, but abandoned it after awhile by signing Olympic Gold medal winning sprinter Bob Hayes, who although played back up half back on his high school football team, never really had a basis in football. Bob Hayes was successful with the Cowboys because of his blazing speed, but was often criticized for consistently dropping easy passes while wide open. This strategy has not been pursued with vigor by any organization since....except the Oregon Ducks.
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So we have a new paradigm: rather than recruit talented football players from high school and start building them up in the gym, recruit elite sprinters and teach them the game of football, while keeping them in the gym. Nobody is doing that except the Ducks. But the cat is now out of the bag, teams will start doing this in full force in the next few years, after the Ducks win a national championship or two in the meantime.
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Go Ducks.
14 comments:
Fredd,
Off topic but this day is like Christmas, my Wedding Aniversary and St. Paddys Day all wrapped-up together,,,my Super Bowl!
I wish all the folks (well the conservative ones) in The Great State of Illinois the very best of luck today!
at least it will keep your mind off the election which is nerve wracking!! heh
Christopher:
Today IS VERY MUCH like the Super Bowl, at least to me. I have the chips, dip, beer all at the ready to sit down and enjoy the election returns, and watch with giddy glee as each Democrat up for grabs switches from blue to red on the Fox News Channel graphic.
Woo hoo!!
Woman Honor Thy Self:
Yes, I am so sick of the damn political commercials, especially the negative ones with the sinister cello droning on in the back ground as they make the targeted candidate out to be a nefarious villain.
FYI: I am surprised that any female would even stop by this post based on the subject, so I appreciate the gesture in any event.
AND FYI Christoper:
And I know you didn't read any of this either, as you are a political guy, not a sports guy, but I appreciate the Super Bowl analogy anyway.
But my Ducks have never been ranked #1, and I just felt compelled to justify it. All the east coast sports writers hate the Ducks, because they are an obscure team from a back water, fly over state that has no significant TV market worth mentioning.
Screw 'em: we're still #1.
GO OREGON DUCKS!
If you back'em Fredd then I join you in your effort!
And may all the Robocops get out and vote today to clean up the halls of congress!
I have much the same in party favors at the ready. Going to be on-line along with two TV's, one set on Fox for substance and the other msnbc for comic relief.
could it be an Oregon-BSU matchup? Over under might be 100!
What:
In a rematch with Boise State and Oregon in the season opener for Oregon last season, where LaGarett Blount threw a punch at a Bozo State guy (and a loss on the Smurf Turf), I would call for Oregon to put up about 55 points. Perhaps Boise State could put up 30, so 85 points, tops.
I think they will be in the tittle game. I think Bama will beat Auburn. But look out for Boise and Utah
Fredd,
..a belated thanks for your DUX laying the Trojans low. There is no denying the caliber of this team; it would probably fare well in the western Conference of the NFC, finishing somewhere between the Niners and the St Louis Rams.
That having been said, this team has the single most awful football uniforms in the history of college sport. I do not know which is more deplorable, the green jerseys with the manhole patterns on the shoulders or the duck-wing ones.
What ever happened to simple, understated monocolor shirts with normal block numerals and t-bands on the sleeves?
*sigh*
Well, they are good though. I hope they do not slip, stumble, and fall on the road to the BCS championship. It is fraught with eastern bias for mid-Western and/or Southern schools.
War Planner:
Yes, the east coast bias has screwed the Ducks back in 2001, when the BCS decided to pit a two loss Nebraska team against an undefeated Miami in the big game. The one loss Ducks were passed over because of this bias. They ended up the season #2, but could have been somebody, had the east coast snobs not been jerks.
But what can you do? Not much.
If you want to get rid of the east coast bias, you need to come east/south and play the big boys! just saying
What Makes:
Oregon went to Michigan a few years ago, played Big Blue on their home turf in the Big House, and spanked them like a four year old in K-Mart: 39 - 7.
I went to the Oregon vs Tennessee game on Sep 11 this year: 105,000 neon orange clad Vol fans saw the Ducks mop the floor with the Vols, 48-13.
Oregon does plenty of traveling and beating teams on their turf east of the Mississippi.
When does Clemson or Alabama ever get out west to do the same?
Never. Bias is bias, What Makes. Nothing to be done about it.
Fredd, Michigan couldn't beat themselves these days, and last I checked, Tennessee had a revolving door on coaches! Don't get me wrong, I am all for Oregon winning the title this year, and contrary to another post, I love their nasty uniforms. However, until the they go east and beat a respected team (ohio state, bama, florida, etc), they will not be able to overcome the bias.
Quack Quack Quack
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